Health Data Management

 

November 2002
Feature Story

Is a Surge in Demand for PACS on the Horizon?

By Greg Gillespie, Managing Editor

Picture archiving and communication systems have traversed a long and winding road since their introduction in the mid-1980s. Although PACS have become widespread among the nation’s largest hospitals, the market penetration growth rate has been relatively low as smaller organizations carefully weigh the potential benefits of going filmless against the potentially hefty costs.

Looking for new avenues of winning over smaller providers, some PACS vendors are turning to the Internet. For example, they’re offering PACS hosted via the application service provider computing model, which lowers some of the upfront hardware costs for the customer.

Ninety-three percent of the 324 U.S. provider organizations with 500 or more beds are using PACS, according to a study by Frost & Sullivan, a New York-based research and consulting firm. But the market penetration declines dramatically as the size of the organization decreases.

As vendors introduce new, lower-cost approaches, Frost & Sullivan predicts the PACS market will grow at a healthy clip, from $856.8 million in 2002 to $1.06 billion in 2006, according to IDC, a Framingham, Mass.-based research and market analysis firm.

The rise of PACS technology has been slow and steady over the past few years, says Antonio Garcia, a medical imaging analyst at Frost & Sullivan.

Frost & Sullivan estimates that nearly 15% of U.S. and Canadian hospitals had implemented some form of a PACS by 2002. Frost & Sullivan lumped the two countries together for this specific report. However, the United States is the biggest market for PACS technology—more than 90% of the implementations identified in the Frost & Sullivan report are in the United States, Garcia explains.

The company also estimates the PACS adoption rate in nonhospital imaging facilities—mainly outpatient imaging centers—was 7.3% by 2002.

In total, there were 1,262 PACS implemented by 2002 in North American hospitals and imaging facilities. This compares with 692 in 1998, the first year Frost & Sullivan started tracking the market.

PACS technology has followed a steady adoption curve over the past few years, Garcia says. The hospital penetration rate was 8.4% in 1998; 9.8% in 1999; 11.3% in 2000; and 12.9% in 2001, to its current penetration rate of 14.7%.

“There have been no big spikes in the past few years—if it was mapped historically, there would be a big spike in the mid-80s, and then in ‘97 and ‘98 when the prices of components such as workstations and storage servers started to drop,” Garcia says.

By 2008, Frost & Sullivan predicts that 36% of North American hospitals will have a radiology PACS, along with 20% of nonhospital imaging facilities. That translates to more than 3,000 installed PACs.

Sliding scale

Those numbers are encouraging, but they only tell half the story, Garcia says. Installation numbers are skewed heavily toward large hospitals and integrated delivery systems.

“Make no mistake, there’s plenty of interest in PACS technology,” Garcia adds. “PACS vendors are making a major marketing push—check out how many there are at industry conferences now. CIOs will listen to the sales presentations, be impressed by a sales pitch, but at some point they ask what the price is. When they hear it, their interest level can take a hit.”

Although prices for PACS components—such as digital storage servers and workstations—have dropped somewhat in recent months, the costs still are substantial.

Some organizations buy all the hardware and lease software from a vendor, or vice versa. Others pay a fee-per-view via the ASP computing model to avoid investing in expensive storage technology.

Frost & Sullivan estimates that the average weighted price tag for a PACS—factoring in components such as storage servers and workstations—is $3.3 million, though the costs range from vastly less to much more.

“Some facilities may pay $200,000 for basic functions, while a large hospital that implements a ‘full blown’ PACS with enterprisewide image distribution likely would spend over $5 million,” Garcia says.

Those costs partly explain why PACS technology resides mostly in large organizations, Garcia says.

Worth the money

But many of those large organizations that have taken the PACS plunge say the investment, while substantial, has proven worthwhile.

For example, at The Cleveland Clinic, radiologists and the rest of the medical staff are convinced that a PACS leads to better and faster care, says Louis Lannum, manager of radiology informatics. The delivery system has used digital imaging since 1994. It now uses a PACS from Siemens Medical Solutions Health Services Corp., Malvern, Pa., to read and store most of its radiology exams.

“Our PACS is a wonderful tool, especially because we have fewer radiologists to read images now, and this has greatly improved their workflow,” Lannum says. “We do more than 800,000 reads a year, so faster access to images and easier distribution, and other advantages to using PACS technology, are compelling to a facility like ours.”

Lannum, however, doesn’t gloss over the fact that the cost of implementing a PACS goes far beyond the initial price tag. “When we initially bought the PACS, it was a major investment in itself,” he says. “And back then, the hidden—well, ongoing—costs weren’t so apparent.”

At The Cleveland Clinic, storage is the chief ongoing cost, Lannum says. In 1998, The Cleveland Clinic had three storage servers for its PACS; it now has 12.

It estimates that for each 100,000 exams it acquires digitally, it must now buy a new storage server, which typically costs $150,000 to $200,000.

That estimate may be conservative, Lannum says, because the data for each acquired exam continues to grow. For example, computed tomography, or CT, scans used to generate about 100 megabytes of data per exam. New and enhanced imaging acquisition devices, however, have caused the digital size of the scans to balloon. Exams using these new machines—which capture more detailed images, and more of them—typically create 1 gigabyte of digital data.

“I’m not sure if many people have taken into account how new acquisition devices are going to affect their ongoing PACS costs,” Lannum says. “This is going to hit the PACS environment very, very hard. Scalability is one of the biggest problems for PACS technology, and it’s going to be harder to predict storage needs and costs in the future.”

Provider organizations should anticipate a few other areas where costs will spike upward when implementing a PACS, Lannum says. The staff needed to upgrade and maintain a PACS is more skilled—hence, more expensive—than staff for hard-copy film libraries.

In addition, PACS technology has a tendency to break out of the radiology department. Once a PACS is implemented and working smoothly, Lannum explains, referring physicians and specialists likely will want to get into the game. The costs of providing widespread access can be high, he says.

The Cleveland Clinic, for example, purchased Web-based image distribution software, also from Siemens, and upgraded the electronic infrastructure running between its hospitals. While Lannum declined to give the price of the distribution software, upgrading portions of its wide area network cost more than $120,000, he says. “Let’s just say there are an awful lot of costs when using this technology,” he says.

Primed for growth

Despite cost concerns, the PACS market appears to be ready for expansion because of market saturation among larger hospitals, Garcia says.

“At the largest provider organizations, nearly 75% have a PACS of one stripe or another, so that market is nearing saturation,” he says. “The market is shifting—has to shift—toward upgrades and smaller community hospitals. But for the smaller hospital market, vendors haven’t hit the price point yet where organizations really can afford PACS technology.”

When PACS vendors hit those price points, they can expect a store full of interested shoppers, contends Richard Howe, vice president of information consulting at VHA Inc., an Irving, Texas-based group purchasing organization for hospitals. VHA has more than 1,800 members, most of which are small and medium-sized facilities.

Interest in PACS is definitely on the rise among VHA members, Howe says. “Our members realize the prices are coming down, and should continue to drop. Many members believe imaging is inevitably going down a digital path.”

However, because many organizations believe they will have to go fully digital, they are trying to squeeze “the last bit of juice” out of their aging image acquisition devices and small-scale digital imaging systems before they invest in a full-blown PACS, he says.

Some small organizations also are playing a waiting game, he adds. “Prices are dropping, but they still are a little too high for many of our members. So some providers are keeping a close eye on prices and waiting until they get to a level they can realistically afford,” he says.

In addition, many smaller hospitals like the ASP computing model because it offers relatively straightforward costs to access otherwise unattainable software. But the ASP vendor market still is a little scary for some organizations, Howe says.

“Many hospitals, while interested in ASP-hosted PACS, still are not sure if an ASP vendor is going to be around in a few years,” Howe says. “That’s a scary proposition—for example, what would happen to images the vendor is storing remotely? It’s something provider organizations think about.”

A stubborn knot

Though the PACS market is shifting toward smaller providers, there still is a stubborn PACS knot to unravel before the technology makes an impact in new markets, contends Garcia, the analyst.

PACS technology was—and still largely is—based on proprietary archive software, Garcia says. As a result, PACS technology has not moved as quickly as other clinical information system technology toward open architecture, Garcia adds.

The Digital Imaging and Communications in Medicine, or DICOM, standard is widely used, but PACS vendors concoct many different “flavors” of DICOM, Garcia says.

By comparison, Health Level Seven standards, used by clinical information systems to exchange text-based messages, usually are adhered to closely, which has led to more interoperability in the non-imaging arena.

“The market is dominated by vendors that continue to create archives that are not fully DICOM-compliant,” Garcia says. “A fully compliant archive potentially would bring the price of PACS technology way down. But vendors now have a lock on their archive technology.”

This means image viewing applications and other PACS software from third-party vendors are hard to integrate with proprietary archives.

“To this point, it’s basically been a case of signing on the bottom line for a PACS, because it’s difficult if not impossible to create a ‘best-of-breed’ system,” Garcia says. “Provider organizations really have to twist a PACS vendor’s arm to get them to work with third-party vendors. That’s happening more often, though it’s still the exception.”

The price of isolation

The lack of firm standards means PACS technology can sometimes be difficult to integrate with other clinical information systems.

Such was the case at the Houston-based University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center, says Kevin W. McEnery, M.D., deputy division head of informatics.

M.D. Anderson recently implemented a Web-based digital image and viewing distribution application from Stentor Corp., South San Francisco, Calif. However, the PACS currently is used by referring physicians. Radiologists still use hard-copy film. They initially were reluctant to use “soft copy” electronic images because they thought a PACS would disrupt their workflow, McEnery says.

“Radiologists are comfortable with their workflow using hard-copy film. They read the images while accessing our other information systems, and while the workflow is not perfect, it works,” McEnery says. “If we had a standalone PACS, they would have to use radiology workstations for images and use other computers to access our clinical systems for data. They refused to practice like that.”

To fold its PACS into clinical workflow, M.D. Anderson took on the arduous task of integrating its PACS with its homegrown electronic medical records system. Thanks to this integration, M.D. Anderson’s radiologists plan to make the transition from hard-copy film to the PACS by early 2003.

“Integrating the electronic record and PACS means that radiologists understand the clinical context of the images they’re looking at, which was crucial to our staff,” McEnery says. “There is a growing realization that what’s limiting PACS is a lack of integration. Workflow is key to success for PACS technology.”

 

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